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PacNet #10 – Why Beijing Has Got It Wrong

TAIPEI – Bonnie S. Glaser’s analysis (PacNet 5, February 2, 2001) of Beijing’s view of Taiwan politics contains two key sentences that may be easily overlooked. "Chinese leaders’ present confidence that they can adroitly manage their relationship with Taiwan is not necessarily based on sound reasoning and a sophisticated understanding of the political and economic situation in Taiwan." … "The continuing failure of Chinese analysts to grasp political and economic development on the island does not bode well for Beijing’s ability to correctly forecast and comprehend Taipei’s policies and the future course of events."